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Qual 312015 CalGames
Red84
25611.4
135129.2
247312.1
Blue56
196718.5
51049.8
10018.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434202060808456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1351
#4
29.22.0
24.8→26.8
Auto2.4
Teleop26.8
End0.0
red by 10.3
100
#17
18.90.9
14.4→15.2
Auto0.8
Teleop18.1
End0.0
Second
2473
#22
12.12.0
6.7→8.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 6.4
1967
#8
18.50.9
17.4→18.3
Auto0.2
Teleop18.3
End0.0
Third
256
#21
11.42.0
11.8→13.8
Auto0.6
Teleop10.8
End0.0
red by 1.6
5104
#28
9.80.9
13.2→14.1
Auto0.6
Teleop9.2
End0.0