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Red32
145824.8
415913.9
248915.5
Blue54
107219.1
502711.0
385937.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55510204060801003254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1458
#25
24.81.2
24.723.5
Auto0.9
Teleop23.9
End0.0
blue by 12.7
37.50.0
26.826.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop37.7
End0.0
Second
2489
#36
15.51.2
17.015.8
Auto0.1
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 3.6
1072
#13
19.10.0
17.617.7
Auto0.4
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Third
4159
#12
13.91.2
14.913.6
Auto2.0
Teleop11.9
End0.0
red by 2.9
5027
#30
11.00.0
9.09.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop11.6
End0.0