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Qual 332015 CalGames
Red16
476510.0
543014.4
19914.2
Blue18
417111.3
425516.2
50263.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32300204060801618

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5430
#20
14.40.8
12.3→11.5
Auto0.9
Teleop13.5
End0.0
blue by 1.8
4255
#14
16.20.7
19.2→18.5
Auto1.7
Teleop14.5
End0.0
Second
199
#23
14.21.3
10.0→8.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.3
End0.0
red by 2.8
4171
#16
11.30.7
10.6→9.9
Auto0.8
Teleop10.6
End0.0
Third
4765
#11
10.00.8
9.8→9.0
Auto1.5
Teleop8.5
End0.0
red by 6.1
5026
#32
3.80.7
2.4→1.7
Auto0.4
Teleop3.4
End0.0