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Qual 512015 CalGames
Red56
264327.2
49909.6
170024.0
Blue88
247312.1
107219.1
325641.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58572040801005688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2643
#19
27.20.2
27.8→27.9
Auto1.1
Teleop26.1
End0.0
blue by 14.4
3256
#6
41.61.4
32.3→33.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop41.9
End0.0
Second
1700
#7
24.00.2
25.5→25.7
Auto1.1
Teleop22.8
End0.0
red by 4.8
1072
#13
19.11.4
17.5→18.9
Auto0.4
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Third
4990
#35
9.60.2
5.4→5.5
Auto0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 2.5
2473
#22
12.11.4
10.7→12.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.5
End0.0