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Red56
418611.4
417111.3
10018.9
Blue72
476510.0
145824.8
67030.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306602040801001201401605672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100
#17
18.91.2
17.318.6
Auto0.8
Teleop18.1
End0.0
blue by 11.7
670
#18
30.50.8
29.630.4
Auto0.3
Teleop30.3
End0.0
Second
4186
#33
11.41.2
10.211.4
Auto0.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 13.4
1458
#25
24.80.8
23.924.6
Auto0.9
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Third
4171
#16
11.31.2
9.811.0
Auto0.8
Teleop10.6
End0.0
red by 1.4
4765
#11
10.00.8
9.210.0
Auto1.5
Teleop8.5
End0.0