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Red28
350125.4
25611.4
570012.7
Blue48
28545.2
248915.5
135129.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5248203040607080902848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3501
#26
25.41.2
26.725.4
Auto1.0
Teleop24.4
End0.0
blue by 3.8
29.20.1
29.129.0
Auto2.4
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Second
5700
#10
12.71.2
13.712.4
Auto0.4
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 2.8
2489
#36
15.50.1
15.615.5
Auto0.1
Teleop15.4
End0.0
Third
256
#21
11.41.2
12.611.4
Auto0.6
Teleop10.8
End0.0
red by 6.2
2854
#29
5.20.1
5.35.2
Auto0.5
Teleop4.6
End0.0