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Red0
304518.1
415913.9
51049.8
Blue52
214418.5
66825.3
50263.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4534020406080100052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3045
#27
18.11.7
15.614.0
Auto0.4
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 7.2
668
#34
25.31.0
16.417.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Second
4159
#12
13.91.7
16.314.7
Auto2.0
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 4.5
18.51.0
18.219.2
Auto0.8
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
5104
#28
9.81.7
13.111.5
Auto0.6
Teleop9.2
End0.0
red by 6.0
5026
#32
3.81.0
2.83.8
Auto0.4
Teleop3.4
End0.0