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Red33
447015.9
567821.3
Blue43
68723.2
119733.2
512442.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321070501502003343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5678
Unranked
21.30.0
21.321.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.4
End0.0
blue by 21.3
5124
Unranked
42.60.0
42.642.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop42.6
End0.0
Second
4470
Unranked
15.90.0
15.915.9
Auto1.3
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 17.3
1197
Unranked
33.20.0
33.233.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop33.3
End0.0
Third
4470B
Unranked
7.90.0
7.97.9
Auto0.7
Teleop7.3
End0.0
blue by 15.3
687
Unranked
23.20.0
23.223.2
Auto0.9
Teleop22.4
End0.0