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Red61
68723.2
347316.3
98016.7
Blue68
585B5.5
512442.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54545060656168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
Unranked
23.20.0
23.223.2
Auto0.9
Teleop22.4
End0.0
blue by 19.4
5124
Unranked
42.60.0
42.642.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop42.6
End0.0
Second
980
Unranked
16.70.0
16.716.7
Auto0.5
Teleop16.2
End0.0
red by 8.8
4470B
Unranked
7.90.0
7.97.9
Auto0.7
Teleop7.3
End0.0
Third
3473
Unranked
16.30.0
16.316.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.5
End0.0
red by 10.8
585B
Unranked
5.50.0
5.55.5
Auto1.0
Teleop4.5
End0.0