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Red69
119733.2
98016.7
447015.9
Blue65
330972.3
58511.0
68723.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5511201001502006965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1197
Unranked
33.20.0
33.233.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop33.3
End0.0
blue by 39.2
3309
Unranked
72.30.0
72.372.3
Auto11.4
Teleop61.0
End0.0
Second
980
Unranked
16.70.0
16.716.7
Auto0.5
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 6.5
687
Unranked
23.20.0
23.223.2
Auto0.9
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Third
4470
Unranked
15.90.0
15.915.9
Auto1.3
Teleop14.6
End0.0
red by 4.9
585
Unranked
11.00.0
11.011.0
Auto2.0
Teleop9.0
End0.0