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Red42
585B5.5
567821.3
Blue27
59921.8
512442.6
450126.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions211000501502004227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5678
Unranked
21.30.0
21.321.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.4
End0.0
blue by 21.3
5124
Unranked
42.60.0
42.642.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop42.6
End0.0
Second
4470B
Unranked
7.90.0
7.97.9
Auto0.7
Teleop7.3
End0.0
blue by 18.6
4501
Unranked
26.60.0
26.626.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Third
585B
Unranked
5.50.0
5.55.5
Auto1.0
Teleop4.5
End0.0
blue by 16.3
599
Unranked
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto1.2
Teleop20.6
End0.0