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Red64
119733.2
68723.2
567821.3
Blue20
347316.3
98016.7
450126.6
73%Model gave it27%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions795401001506420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1197
Unranked
33.20.0
33.233.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop33.3
End0.0
red by 6.6
4501
Unranked
26.60.0
26.626.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Second
687
Unranked
23.20.0
23.223.2
Auto0.9
Teleop22.4
End0.0
red by 6.5
980
Unranked
16.70.0
16.716.7
Auto0.5
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Third
5678
Unranked
21.30.0
21.321.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 4.9
3473
Unranked
16.30.0
16.316.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.5
End0.0