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Red59
58511.0
512442.6
Blue22
119733.2
585B5.5
447015.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615102040801001201405922

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5124
Unranked
42.60.0
42.642.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop42.6
End0.0
red by 9.5
1197
Unranked
33.20.0
33.233.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop33.3
End0.0
Second
585
Unranked
11.00.0
11.011.0
Auto2.0
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 4.9
4470
Unranked
15.90.0
15.915.9
Auto1.3
Teleop14.6
End0.0
Third
4470B
Unranked
7.90.0
7.97.9
Auto0.7
Teleop7.3
End0.0
red by 2.4
585B
Unranked
5.50.0
5.55.5
Auto1.0
Teleop4.5
End0.0