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Red74
171727.6
420139.0
59912.9
Blue40
9687.5
29427.7
566916.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions744601001502007440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.00.0
36.636.7
Auto0.6
Teleop38.4
End0.0
red by 11.3
294
#8
27.70.0
27.827.8
Auto0.0
Teleop27.6
End0.0
Second
1717
#29
27.60.0
25.225.3
Auto0.9
Teleop26.8
End0.0
red by 11.3
5669
#30
16.40.0
16.616.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Third
599
#59
12.90.0
10.510.5
Auto1.1
Teleop11.8
End0.0
red by 5.4
968
#61
7.50.0
7.77.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.5
End0.0