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Red139
512432.5
119733.2
244330.3
Blue75
330925.7
332817.6
427621.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81580204010012014016013975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.21.0
28.929.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop33.3
End0.0
red by 7.5
3309
#12
25.70.2
25.425.7
Auto0.0
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Second
32.51.3
26.828.1
Auto0.1
Teleop32.4
End0.0
red by 11.1
4276
#11
21.40.2
21.221.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.6
End0.0
Third
2443
#21
30.31.3
24.625.9
Auto0.1
Teleop30.2
End0.0
red by 12.7
17.60.2
17.517.6
Auto0.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0