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Red171
97346.5
33053.6
151522.4
Blue132
512432.5
119733.2
244330.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11684050100150200250171132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#1
53.61.2
50.952.1
Auto3.8
Teleop49.7
End0.0
red by 20.4
33.20.7
32.132.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop33.3
End0.0
Second
973
#2
46.50.9
44.445.4
Auto0.5
Teleop45.9
End0.0
red by 14.0
32.50.9
31.031.9
Auto0.1
Teleop32.4
End0.0
Third
1515
#39
22.41.2
19.720.9
Auto0.4
Teleop21.9
End0.0
blue by 7.9
2443
#21
30.30.9
28.829.7
Auto0.1
Teleop30.2
End0.0