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Red98
171727.6
420139.0
59912.9
Blue100
20720.9
69623.9
441518.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7256010015098100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.00.6
36.737.2
Auto0.6
Teleop38.4
End0.0
red by 15.1
696
#10
23.90.9
23.123.9
Auto0.3
Teleop23.7
End0.0
Second
1717
#29
27.60.6
25.325.8
Auto0.9
Teleop26.8
End0.0
red by 6.7
207
#23
20.90.9
20.020.9
Auto0.2
Teleop20.7
End0.0
Third
599
#59
12.90.6
10.511.1
Auto1.1
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 5.5
4415
#22
18.40.9
17.518.4
Auto0.2
Teleop18.2
End0.0