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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37360206080452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2839
#24
20.40.4
18.519.0
Auto0.5
Teleop20.0
End0.0
blue by 18.6
39.02.5
13.911.4
Auto0.6
Teleop38.4
End0.0
Second
1452
#42
11.70.6
9.810.4
Auto0.6
Teleop11.0
End0.0
Level
4079
#36
11.72.5
8.35.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.8
End0.0
Third
606
#43
9.20.6
9.410.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 1.3
4501
#63
10.52.5
15.713.2
Auto0.0
Teleop10.5
End0.0