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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4026060801001201405231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.10.8
18.719.4
Auto0.4
Teleop33.7
End0.0
red by 18.0
3759
#17
16.10.2
7.67.8
Auto0.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Second
5102
#15
20.11.0
12.513.5
Auto0.4
Teleop19.7
End0.0
red by 7.3
4322
#45
12.90.2
13.013.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0
Third
5513
#44
9.00.5
9.09.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.2
End0.0
red by 5.0
5540
#54
4.04.7
4.08.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.1
End0.0