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Red5
9687.5
461917.2
49642.3
Blue27
98016.6
29427.7
6069.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31480100150527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4619
#32
17.22.5
17.114.6
Auto0.7
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 10.4
294
#8
27.71.0
24.022.9
Auto0.0
Teleop27.6
End0.0
Second
968
#61
7.52.5
10.27.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 9.1
980
#20
16.61.7
13.311.6
Auto0.6
Teleop16.0
End0.0
Third
4964
#57
2.32.5
7.65.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.4
End0.0
blue by 7.0
606
#43
9.21.7
10.08.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0