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Red10
551211.1
450110.5
7023.4
Blue5
99511.1
8487.3
171727.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2938050100150200105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5512
#41
11.11.8
6.34.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.2
End0.0
blue by 16.5
1717
#29
27.62.7
24.822.0
Auto0.9
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Second
4501
#63
10.51.8
13.211.4
Auto0.0
Teleop10.5
End0.0
blue by 0.5
995
#51
11.12.7
7.54.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.1
End0.0
Third
702
#65
3.41.8
12.310.5
Auto0.1
Teleop3.3
End0.0
blue by 3.9
848
#50
7.32.7
5.72.9
Auto0.8
Teleop6.5
End0.0