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Red22
145211.7
138820.3
351222.1
Blue37
427621.4
114810.6
512432.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364701001502002237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.11.4
17.115.7
Auto0.2
Teleop21.9
End0.0
blue by 10.3
32.50.9
25.324.4
Auto0.1
Teleop32.4
End0.0
Second
1388
#26
20.31.4
12.010.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.5
End0.0
blue by 1.1
4276
#11
21.40.9
14.313.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.6
End0.0
Third
1452
#42
11.71.4
10.28.8
Auto0.6
Teleop11.0
End0.0
red by 1.0
1148
#46
10.60.5
7.87.3
Auto0.1
Teleop10.5
End0.0