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Red40
20720.9
7023.4
257612.6
Blue24
151522.4
55106.6
69623.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363901001502002504024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
207
#23
20.90.2
14.915.1
Auto0.2
Teleop20.7
End0.0
blue by 3.1
696
#10
23.90.9
17.917.1
Auto0.3
Teleop23.7
End0.0
Second
2576
#37
12.60.2
10.410.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 9.8
1515
#39
22.40.9
13.812.9
Auto0.4
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Third
702
#65
3.40.2
12.112.3
Auto0.1
Teleop3.3
End0.0
blue by 3.1
5510
#55
6.67.2
14.97.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.7
End0.0