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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3321040608010012000

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4276
#11
21.42.2
15.513.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.6
End0.0
red by 10.4
995
#51
11.11.5
9.07.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.1
End0.0
Second
5285
#14
15.02.2
7.14.9
Auto0.2
Teleop14.7
End0.0
red by 5.0
5100
#60
10.01.5
6.14.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.0
End0.0
Third
687
#52
9.42.2
9.87.6
Auto0.2
Teleop9.3
End0.0
red by 3.1
867
#62
6.41.5
8.97.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.4
End0.0