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Red116
420139.0
388223.1
29427.7
Blue26
244330.3
55106.6
450110.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58330208010012014016011626

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.05.0
18.723.7
Auto0.6
Teleop38.4
End0.0
red by 8.7
2443
#21
30.30.0
19.819.8
Auto0.1
Teleop30.2
End0.0
Second
294
#8
27.73.0
20.423.4
Auto0.0
Teleop27.6
End0.0
red by 17.1
4501
#63
10.50.0
9.99.9
Auto0.0
Teleop10.5
End0.0
Third
3882
#19
23.15.0
16.921.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.3
End0.0
red by 16.5
5510
#55
6.60.0
8.78.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.7
End0.0