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Red56
145211.7
8487.3
151522.4
Blue82
55216.6
263734.1
375212.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2040060801001201405682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1515
#39
22.42.7
11.814.6
Auto0.4
Teleop21.9
End0.0
blue by 11.7
34.12.2
24.326.5
Auto0.4
Teleop33.7
End0.0
Second
1452
#42
11.72.7
8.811.5
Auto0.6
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 0.4
3752
#31
12.13.6
8.412.1
Auto0.8
Teleop11.3
End0.0
Third
848
#50
7.32.7
2.95.6
Auto0.8
Teleop6.5
End0.0
red by 0.7
5521
#56
6.63.6
5.59.2
Auto0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0