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Red54
69623.9
29427.7
386311.8
Blue16
510010.0
14389.0
114810.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66150501001505416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#8
27.70.0
23.423.4
Auto0.0
Teleop27.6
End0.0
red by 17.0
1148
#46
10.60.2
9.69.8
Auto0.1
Teleop10.5
End0.0
Second
696
#10
23.90.1
24.924.8
Auto0.3
Teleop23.7
End0.0
red by 14.0
5100
#60
10.00.4
6.36.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.0
End0.0
Third
3863
#35
11.80.1
12.512.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.8
End0.0
red by 2.7
1438
#58
9.00.4
7.57.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.1
End0.0