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Red24
166116.9
98016.6
45743.8
Blue10
563411.9
55106.6
8487.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29280102040506070802410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1661
#16
16.90.5
13.613.1
Auto0.2
Teleop16.8
End0.0
red by 5.0
5634
#28
11.91.6
15.013.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0
Second
980
#20
16.60.5
14.714.2
Auto0.6
Teleop16.0
End0.0
red by 9.3
848
#50
7.31.6
5.64.0
Auto0.8
Teleop6.5
End0.0
Third
4574
#40
3.80.3
1.91.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.0
End0.0
blue by 2.8
5510
#55
6.61.6
8.77.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.7
End0.0