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Red14
386311.8
450110.5
563411.9
Blue14
491312.6
59912.9
45.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34270204060801001414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5634
#28
11.91.7
13.411.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0
blue by 1.0
599
#59
12.91.3
13.211.9
Auto1.1
Teleop11.8
End0.0
Second
3863
#35
11.81.7
12.410.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 0.8
4913
#47
12.60.8
12.111.3
Auto0.5
Teleop12.1
End0.0
Third
4501
#63
10.51.7
8.66.9
Auto0.0
Teleop10.5
End0.0
red by 4.7
4
#66
5.81.3
4.02.7
Auto0.0
Teleop5.8
End0.0