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Red31
6069.2
528515.0
116014.8
Blue5
98016.6
441518.4
55216.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3640050100150200315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5285
#14
15.00.6
14.814.1
Auto0.2
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 3.4
4415
#22
18.41.5
17.916.5
Auto0.2
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Second
1160
#18
14.80.6
14.213.6
Auto0.0
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 1.8
980
#20
16.61.5
14.212.7
Auto0.6
Teleop16.0
End0.0
Third
606
#43
9.20.6
9.38.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0
red by 2.6
5521
#56
6.61.5
8.57.0
Auto0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0