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Red16
2563.6
207315.3
55299.6
Blue25
471118.6
510411.4
49738.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33300204060801001625

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2073
#26
15.31.5
14.513.0
Auto0.1
Teleop15.1
End0.0
blue by 3.3
4711
#18
18.60.5
10.39.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Second
5529
#40
9.61.5
6.75.2
Auto0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 1.8
5104
#28
11.40.5
12.912.3
Auto0.7
Teleop10.7
End0.0
Third
256
#43
3.61.5
12.911.4
Auto1.5
Teleop2.1
End0.0
blue by 4.9
4973
#44
8.50.5
8.27.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.6
End0.0