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Red48
7518.7
350121.7
8419.7
Blue153
132319.7
67025.4
25463.4
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317905010015020048153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3501
#11
21.70.7
13.714.5
Auto1.3
Teleop20.5
End0.0
blue by 41.7
254
#2
63.46.5
40.947.4
Auto8.8
Teleop54.6
End0.0
Second
841
#46
9.70.7
10.811.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.0
End0.0
blue by 15.7
670
#8
25.46.5
15.421.9
Auto0.0
Teleop25.4
End0.0
Third
751
#34
8.70.7
14.815.5
Auto0.4
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 11.0
1323
#30
19.76.5
18.424.9
Auto0.6
Teleop19.2
End0.0