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Red17
23677.0
31209.2
246515.5
Blue21
242911.4
64920.7
283918.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27320501001502001721

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2465
#21
15.51.0
6.15.2
Auto0.9
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 5.2
649
#13
20.70.0
12.312.4
Auto0.8
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Second
3120
#31
9.21.0
13.812.8
Auto1.4
Teleop7.8
End0.0
blue by 9.3
2839
#12
18.50.0
8.58.6
Auto0.9
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Third
2367
#45
7.01.0
8.87.8
Auto-0.6
Teleop7.7
End0.0
blue by 4.3
2429
#41DQ
11.40.0
11.711.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.4
End0.0