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Red106
167866.3
210230.8
397030.3
Blue0
51349.8
167134.4
464311.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6336020801001201401601060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.33.7
30.133.8
Auto9.9
Teleop56.4
End0.0
red by 31.9
34.42.5
26.323.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop34.6
End0.0
Second
30.83.7
14.918.6
Auto0.3
Teleop30.6
End0.0
red by 19.5
4643
#32
11.42.5
10.68.1
Auto1.7
Teleop9.7
End0.0
Third
30.33.7
16.520.2
Auto1.0
Teleop29.2
End0.0
red by 20.4
5134
#29
9.82.5
4.92.4
Auto1.9
Teleop8.0
End0.0