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Red5
196712.0
276113.7
510411.4
Blue30
349522.8
67025.4
69213.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35450100150200530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2761
#25
13.72.7
10.88.1
Auto0.9
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 11.7
670
#8
25.41.2
21.920.7
Auto0.0
Teleop25.4
End0.0
Second
1967
#35
12.02.7
14.812.0
Auto0.1
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 10.9
3495
#10
22.81.2
10.18.8
Auto0.5
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Third
5104
#28
11.42.7
12.39.6
Auto0.7
Teleop10.7
End0.0
blue by 1.7
692
#23
13.01.2
12.711.5
Auto0.8
Teleop12.2
End0.0