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Red89
44708.7
25463.4
64920.7
Blue28
425511.4
254313.5
418315.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66370501001502008928

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#2
63.42.6
47.450.0
Auto8.8
Teleop54.6
End0.0
red by 48.0
4183
#36
15.41.2
19.318.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Second
649
#13
20.72.6
12.415.0
Auto0.8
Teleop19.8
End0.0
red by 7.2
2543
#33
13.51.2
8.47.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.8
End0.0
Third
4470
#39Sur
8.72.6
4.06.6
Auto1.8
Teleop6.9
End0.0
blue by 2.7
4255
#27Sur
11.41.2
14.713.5
Auto0.6
Teleop10.8
End0.0