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Red6
89.9
263718.7
7518.7
Blue29
207315.3
60416.7
23677.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38350206080100629

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2637
#14
18.72.8
15.012.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.7
End0.0
red by 2.0
604
#24
16.70.6
15.715.0
Auto0.3
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Second
8
#38
9.92.8
8.86.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.0
End0.0
blue by 5.4
2073
#26
15.30.6
13.012.4
Auto0.1
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Third
751
#34
8.72.8
15.512.7
Auto0.4
Teleop8.4
End0.0
red by 1.7
2367
#45
7.00.6
7.87.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop7.7
End0.0