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Red73
349522.8
58117.8
58515.5
Blue24
49738.5
388116.2
246515.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232804060801001201401607324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3495
#10
22.84.5
8.813.3
Auto0.5
Teleop22.4
End0.0
red by 6.6
3881
#22
16.20.4
15.815.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Second
581
#20
17.84.5
9.213.7
Auto0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 2.3
2465
#21
15.50.4
5.24.8
Auto0.9
Teleop14.5
End0.0
Third
585
#19
15.54.5
7.011.5
Auto1.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
red by 7.1
4973
#44
8.50.4
7.67.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.6
End0.0