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Red67
350121.7
242911.4
471118.6
Blue131
397030.3
70136.5
196712.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3249010015067131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3501
#11
21.72.6
14.517.0
Auto1.3
Teleop20.5
End0.0
blue by 14.8
701
#3
36.56.9
15.922.8
Auto0.2
Teleop36.3
End0.0
Second
4711
#18
18.62.6
9.812.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop19.1
End0.0
blue by 11.7
30.36.9
20.227.1
Auto1.0
Teleop29.2
End0.0
Third
2429
#41
11.42.6
11.714.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.4
End0.0
blue by 0.6
1967
#35
12.06.9
12.018.9
Auto0.1
Teleop11.8
End0.0