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Red44
392512.2
413520.5
29527.6
Blue0
32558.7
33039.5
31209.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34440100150440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
295
#7
27.61.6
14.415.9
Auto0.4
Teleop27.1
End0.0
red by 18.1
3303
#42
9.53.1
13.09.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.5
End0.0
Second
4135
#16
20.51.6
11.613.2
Auto0.1
Teleop20.4
End0.0
red by 11.3
3120
#31
9.23.1
12.89.7
Auto1.4
Teleop7.8
End0.0
Third
3925
#37
12.21.6
11.112.7
Auto-0.8
Teleop13.1
End0.0
red by 3.5
3255
#47
8.73.1
17.814.7
Auto0.2
Teleop8.5
End0.0