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Red26
397030.3
67025.4
276113.7
Blue103
31209.2
425511.4
25463.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4557010015026103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.31.4
17.816.5
Auto1.0
Teleop29.2
End0.0
blue by 33.2
254
#2
63.43.8
37.040.9
Auto8.8
Teleop54.6
End0.0
Second
670
#8
25.41.4
16.715.4
Auto0.0
Teleop25.4
End0.0
red by 14.1
4255
#27
11.43.8
10.113.9
Auto0.6
Teleop10.8
End0.0
Third
2761
#25
13.71.4
13.712.4
Auto0.9
Teleop12.9
End0.0
red by 4.6
3120
#31
9.23.8
10.013.8
Auto1.4
Teleop7.8
End0.0