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Red60
471118.6
166228.3
58515.5
Blue40
210230.8
32558.7
510411.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364201001502006040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1662
#17
28.31.8
21.623.4
Auto0.1
Teleop28.2
End0.0
blue by 2.5
30.80.8
14.114.9
Auto0.3
Teleop30.6
End0.0
Second
4711
#18
18.61.8
8.510.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop19.1
End0.0
red by 7.2
5104
#28
11.40.8
12.112.9
Auto0.7
Teleop10.7
End0.0
Third
585
#19
15.51.8
7.99.7
Auto1.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
red by 6.8
3255
#47
8.70.8
16.317.0
Auto0.2
Teleop8.5
End0.0