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Red52
454329.6
7518.7
464311.4
Blue40
350121.7
392512.2
2563.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31400501001502005240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.62.5
13.215.8
Auto1.6
Teleop28.0
End0.0
red by 7.8
3501
#11
21.70.0
13.713.7
Auto1.3
Teleop20.5
End0.0
Second
4643
#32DQ
11.42.5
8.110.6
Auto1.7
Teleop9.7
End0.0
blue by 0.9
3925
#37
12.20.0
13.413.4
Auto-0.8
Teleop13.1
End0.0
Third
751
#34
8.72.5
12.214.8
Auto0.4
Teleop8.4
End0.0
red by 5.2
256
#43
3.60.0
12.912.9
Auto1.5
Teleop2.1
End0.0