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Red12
349522.8
283918.5
33039.5
Blue13
64920.7
89.9
132319.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255001001501213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3495
#10
22.80.5
10.610.1
Auto0.5
Teleop22.4
End0.0
red by 2.2
649
#13
20.72.9
15.212.3
Auto0.8
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Second
2839
#12
18.50.5
9.18.5
Auto0.9
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 1.2
1323
#30
19.72.9
21.318.4
Auto0.6
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Third
3303
#42
9.50.5
10.510.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.5
End0.0
blue by 0.4
8
#38
9.92.9
11.58.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.0
End0.0