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Red59
210230.8
60416.7
33039.5
Blue18
34827.4
8419.7
242911.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions482304060801001201405918

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.81.1
24.125.2
Auto0.3
Teleop30.6
End0.0
red by 19.5
2429
#41
11.40.8
12.211.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.4
End0.0
Second
604
#24
16.71.1
11.112.2
Auto0.3
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 6.9
841
#46
9.70.8
10.29.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.0
End0.0
Third
3303
#42
9.51.1
10.511.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.5
End0.0
red by 2.1
3482
#48
7.40.8
5.74.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.4
End0.0