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Red68
167134.4
7518.7
58515.5
Blue30
418315.4
276113.7
31209.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59270501001506830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.40.9
27.228.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop34.6
End0.0
red by 19.0
4183
#36
15.40.3
15.014.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Second
585
#19
15.50.9
18.419.3
Auto1.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
red by 1.8
2761
#25
13.70.3
8.48.1
Auto0.9
Teleop12.9
End0.0
Third
751
#34
8.71.0
11.011.9
Auto0.4
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 0.4
3120
#31
9.20.3
10.09.7
Auto1.4
Teleop7.8
End0.0