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Red30
135123.2
392512.2
388116.2
Blue42
166228.3
132319.7
55299.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434325303540455055603042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1351
#15
23.20.3
17.417.7
Auto0.9
Teleop22.3
End0.0
blue by 5.1
1662
#17
28.30.3
19.319.6
Auto0.1
Teleop28.2
End0.0
Second
3881
#22
16.20.3
13.914.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 3.5
1323
#30
19.70.3
21.021.3
Auto0.6
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Third
3925
#37
12.20.3
13.313.6
Auto-0.8
Teleop13.1
End0.0
red by 2.6
5529
#40
9.60.3
3.94.2
Auto0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0