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Red0
425511.4
8407.5
471118.6
Blue33
254313.5
350121.7
89.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32350206080100120033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4711
#18
18.60.8
12.211.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop19.1
End0.0
blue by 3.2
3501
#11
21.70.2
20.220.0
Auto1.3
Teleop20.5
End0.0
Second
4255
#27
11.40.8
13.512.7
Auto0.6
Teleop10.8
End0.0
blue by 2.1
2543
#33
13.50.2
5.14.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.8
End0.0
Third
840
#49
7.50.8
8.17.2
Auto0.1
Teleop7.4
End0.0
blue by 2.5
8
#38
9.90.2
10.19.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.0
End0.0