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Red22
89.9
8419.7
31209.2
Blue142
167866.3
69213.0
70136.5
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169405015020025022142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8
#38
9.90.6
9.99.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.0
End0.0
blue by 56.4
66.34.7
51.756.4
Auto9.9
Teleop56.4
End0.0
Second
841
#46
9.70.6
9.38.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.0
End0.0
blue by 26.8
701
#3
36.54.7
25.730.4
Auto0.2
Teleop36.3
End0.0
Third
3120
#31
9.20.6
9.79.1
Auto1.4
Teleop7.8
End0.0
blue by 3.9
692
#23
13.04.7
8.012.8
Auto0.8
Teleop12.2
End0.0