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Red60
210230.8
23677.0
49738.5
Blue55
350121.7
135123.2
283918.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285502040801001201401606055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.82.3
25.227.4
Auto0.3
Teleop30.6
End0.0
red by 7.6
1351
#15
23.20.2
17.717.9
Auto0.9
Teleop22.3
End0.0
Second
4973
#44
8.52.3
5.07.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.6
End0.0
blue by 13.3
3501
#11
21.70.2
20.020.3
Auto1.3
Teleop20.5
End0.0
Third
2367
#45
7.02.3
2.75.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop7.7
End0.0
blue by 11.5
2839
#12
18.50.2
14.714.9
Auto0.9
Teleop17.6
End0.0